Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.184305e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079
2025-04-06 2.380133e-05 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000091
2025-04-13 1.769279e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000060 0.000077 0.000098
2025-04-20 1.398026e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000061 0.000081 0.000106
2025-04-27 1.166979e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000044 0.000063 0.000086 0.000116
2025-05-04 1.006729e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000066 0.000092 0.000127
2025-05-11 9.468879e-06 0.000018 0.000030 0.000047 0.000071 0.000102 0.000144
2025-05-18 8.383919e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000074 0.000109 0.000155
2025-05-25 6.557261e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000045 0.000072 0.000108 0.000158
2025-06-01 5.302160e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000043 0.000072 0.000110 0.000163
2025-06-08 4.518536e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000043 0.000073 0.000114 0.000172
2025-06-15 3.826346e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000074 0.000117 0.000179
2025-06-22 2.949682e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000074 0.000121 0.000189
2025-06-29 2.151989e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000123 0.000197
2025-07-06 1.422963e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000037 0.000071 0.000122 0.000199
2025-07-13 1.004363e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000035 0.000071 0.000124 0.000207
2025-07-20 7.628579e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000035 0.000072 0.000129 0.000218
2025-07-27 6.034621e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000075 0.000136 0.000232
2025-08-03 5.637536e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000038 0.000080 0.000148 0.000254
2025-08-10 4.544842e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000083 0.000155 0.000269
2025-08-17 2.693407e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000081 0.000154 0.000271
2025-08-24 1.649886e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000155 0.000277
2025-08-31 1.113188e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000081 0.000159 0.000288